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Sturm Blog: Penalty Killing Has To Improve

Wednesday, 10.20.2010 / 10:15 AM CT / Bob Sturm Blog
By Bob Sturm
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Sturm Blog: Penalty Killing Has To Improve

Bob Sturm
I have been wanting to take a good look at the Dallas Stars for a few days after this first 5 game stretch that has seen the Stars get out of the gates with 4 wins in 5 attempts. 

The great start has been fun for all involved and most importantly I think it is key for the guys in the room to experience success early.  It is common thought that losing is a disease that can easily spread and if losing sets in with a  young team then bad things will usually follow.  Somewhere you have to break the cycle, otherwise the ability to coach them and get them to fight with 100% resolve is not always a given.

Winning also spreads across a room, and when things start going well, a team starts to believe that more things will eventually go well.  It is such a slippery issue, this momentum thing in sports, but if you don't think it exists, then I will respectfully disagree.

I will grant you that I am both an optimist and a pessimist when it comes to the teams I follow.  I am an optimist on certain issues like a new season offers a fresh start and a blank slate.  I usually dare to dream about what a roster can do if everything "breaks right".

Conversely, I can be called a pessimist, because often times, the scoreboard at the end of the game does not always make me feel better about what my eyes saw.  Some people like the absolutes of "win" or "loss".  If they win, then anything that happened that night is awesome.  If they lost, anything that happens that night is garbage.  I just don't think that is a practical stance and I can see good in a loss and bad in a win.

Which leads me to a very sensitive topic these days when I talk about the Stars big start.

I think it very possibly is a mirage. 

Now, before you get your torches and storm my castle, let me explain.

Yes, I think the Stars are off to a nice start.  And yes, I hope it continues.  But, I want to get this word of warning out now, while the team is 4-1.

There is no way you can make the playoffs with this penalty kill performance we are seeing.   You may win games in the short term (4 out of 5 games), but in the long term, it is impossible.  It can't be done.  There is no way.  (Is there any other way I can express my feelings about a topic?)

In 2008-09, the Stars missed the playoffs.  One reason why is that their PK unit was 24th in the NHL. 
In 2009-10, the Stars missed the playoffs.  One reason why is that their PK unit was 27th in the NHL.
In 2010-11, the Stars want to make the playoffs.  One reason why they may not is their PK unit is 30th in the NHL.

There are only 30 teams.

If you combine all 3 seasons since the Stars last were in the playoffs - and had one of the greatest PK defensemen of our generation, Sergei Zubov, they are 29th in the NHL as a cumulative total.  77.3% is well off the pace, and only is ahead of the 3 year total of Toronto (75.1).

Look, I am so thrilled they have won 4 of their first 5.   But, I cannot escape the pain in my neck everytime the Stars take a penalty.  And, you cannot play "abrasive - tough to play against" hockey and never take a penalty.  Penalties are going to happen in the NHL.

But, then you have to prove you can kill one off.  So far, Stars opponents have had 25 chances against the Stars PK unit.  They have scored 10 goals at a 40% PP rate.  Or, a 60% PK rate for the Stars when they are shorthanded.

No other team in hockey has allowed more than 7 PP Goals.  Flordia and Washington have not allowed any.

It is early.  And we are smiling right now.

But, this is no time for anyone to feel like they have accomplished anything.  They have to get the PK sorted.  Quickly. Or this great start will be lost to the PK.

Email Bob at Sturm1310@aol.com and follow him on twitter at www.twitter.com/bobanddan





1 z - DAL 82 50 23 9 267 230 109
2 x - STL 82 49 24 9 224 201 107
3 x - CHI 82 47 26 9 235 209 103
4 y - ANA 82 46 25 11 218 192 103
5 x - LAK 82 48 28 6 225 195 102
6 x - SJS 82 46 30 6 241 210 98
7 x - NSH 82 41 27 14 228 215 96
8 x - MIN 82 38 33 11 216 206 87
9 COL 82 39 39 4 216 240 82
10 ARI 82 35 39 8 209 245 78
11 WPG 82 35 39 8 215 239 78
12 CGY 82 35 40 7 231 260 77
13 VAN 82 31 38 13 191 243 75
14 EDM 82 31 43 8 203 245 70


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J. Benn 13 5 10 2 15
J. Spezza 13 5 8 0 13
C. Eakin 13 1 7 -4 8
A. Goligoski 13 4 3 -6 7
P. Sharp 13 4 2 -4 6
P. Eaves 9 3 3 3 6
R. Faksa 13 3 2 2 5
M. Janmark 12 2 3 -3 5
C. Sceviour 11 2 3 1 5
J. Klingberg 13 1 3 -5 4
K. Lehtonen 6 3 0 .899 2.81
A. Niemi 1 3 2 .865 3.29
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